Friday, September 23, 2011

Xkcd on how to make science denial work for you

Xkcd has a modest proposal:

Unfortunately finding a climate denier to put their money where their mouth is is not so easy. If the world isn't getting warmer, the chance that 2012 will be the warmest year in the instrumental record should be less than 1%. All the people predicting global cooling -- or claiming that global cooling has already started, or that there's been no warming since 2000 -- ought to be willing to give ten to one or twenty to one odds against a new record. No such luck:

Average Global Temperature for 2012 to be the warmest on record: 42%


They won't even give us three to one, when by the logic of "no warming" they should give us a hundred to one. Sigh. Can't quit my day job just yet. I guess they're more careful what they do with their money than what they do with their mouths.

1 comment:

  1. I'd take the under on that one, but in the next 5 years a new record will be set.