As the great philosopher wrote,
"To truth only a brief celebration of victory is allowed between the two long periods during which it is condemned as paradoxical, or disparaged as trivial."
. . . and so the time has come to bid farewell to the Intrade punter's opinion of the chances 2010 would be a record-breaking year (it was, as it turns out) and look to the future:
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I chose to replace 2010 with 2012, given the La Nina which closed out 2010 and appears likely to dominate early 2011. I really doubt 2011 will be in the running for the title of the hottest ever. It's true -- get ready for the "No warming since 2010!" crowd. There's no way of knowing if 2012 will break the 2010 record, but it should be an interesting horse to follow for the coming brace of years.