tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6718772691289114123.post6983871954672165058..comments2024-03-26T15:37:57.556-07:00Comments on Idiot Tracker: Skeptical Science on modellingTheTrackerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10011829472333355911noreply@blogger.comBlogger1125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6718772691289114123.post-67792951753002274572011-08-26T05:04:10.878-07:002011-08-26T05:04:10.878-07:00> getting a climate sensitivity of about 2.1C
...> getting a climate sensitivity of about 2.1C<br /><br />Actually <a href="http://www.globalwarmingart.com/images/1/18/Arrhenius.pdf" rel="nofollow">Arrhenius</a> found a climate sensitivity of 3.4C (page 265 bottom), but <em>for multiplying CO2 concentration by 1.5</em>. Conversion to doubling sensitivity gives 5.8C, almost twice the current estimate (can also be seen in Table VII middle column). And part of this was luck, as his method could only capture the greenhouse gas (CO2 + H2O) contributions, not, e.g., the cloud cover feedback.<br /><br />But given the primitive means, pretty good still...Martin Vermeerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04537045395760606324noreply@blogger.com