tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6718772691289114123.post6634179550652705467..comments2024-03-17T17:03:57.875-07:00Comments on Idiot Tracker: Minor myths: the Armstrong-Gore climate "bet"TheTrackerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10011829472333355911noreply@blogger.comBlogger6125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6718772691289114123.post-66475674128774909522018-12-14T19:50:35.945-08:002018-12-14T19:50:35.945-08:00I have a Twitter thread below, discussing some of ...I have a Twitter thread below, discussing some of the evidence rebutting Armstrong's prediction. It turns out there was about as much (or more) observed warming than the warming trend Armstrong made up and attributed to the IPCC:<br /><br />https://twitter.com/AtomsksSanakan/status/1073703570380374024Atomsk's Sanakanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06075386707195252260noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6718772691289114123.post-35578546824103282052018-02-05T23:46:27.496-08:002018-02-05T23:46:27.496-08:00I found this in the AR4 (2007) Synthesis Report &q...I found this in the AR4 (2007) Synthesis Report "Since the IPCC’s first report in 1990, assessed projections have suggested global averaged temperature increases between about 0.15 and 0.3°C per decade from 1990 to 2005. This can now be compared with observed values of about 0.2°C per decade, strengthening confidence in near-term projections. {WGI 1.2, 3.2} "<br />So though not 2001 but 2007, your argument is still valid!<br />Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00278232084056964347noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6718772691289114123.post-29088319977630212302017-07-04T02:19:25.732-07:002017-07-04T02:19:25.732-07:00Order a professional Sparkling White Smiles Custom...Order a professional <a href="http://teeth-whitening.syntaxlinks.com/r/SparklingWhiteSmiles" rel="nofollow"><b>Sparkling White Smiles</b></a> <b><i>Custom Teeth Whitening System</i></b> online and get <b>BIG DISCOUNTS</b>!<br />* Up to 10 shades whiter in days!<br />* Results Guaranteed.<br />* As good as your dentist, for a fraction of the cost.<br />* Same strength Teeth Whitening Gel as dentists use.Bloggerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07287821785570247118noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6718772691289114123.post-8035583037266862342011-09-22T15:39:34.376-07:002011-09-22T15:39:34.376-07:00What would you propose as an alternative?
I disc...What would you propose as an alternative? <br /><br />I discussed this here: http://theidiottracker.blogspot.com/2010/09/another-month-another-humilation-for.html<br /><br />In brief:<br /><br />* Use something closer to the actual model predictions, like 0.2C/decade vs no warming.<br />* Use a rolling average (the 11-year average would be optimal), not a month-to-month anomaly . . . that's nuts.TheTrackerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10011829472333355911noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6718772691289114123.post-58082520887680639392011-09-22T04:07:30.735-07:002011-09-22T04:07:30.735-07:00They have started posting again: http://www.thecli...They have started posting again: http://www.theclimatebet.com/ seems like a fair bet to me. What would you propose as an alternative?Ansgar John Brenninkmeijerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12649381157874260095noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6718772691289114123.post-91735231014996416712011-01-17T13:51:29.476-08:002011-01-17T13:51:29.476-08:00You also realize that Armstrong's claim was no...You also realize that Armstrong's claim was no warming - something that seems almost ludicrous considering that the trend over the past 150 years has been 0.17C/decade. One of the biggest problems with the AGW hypothesis is that wants to attribute past warming to nature but most future warming to man with a trend that is fairly stable over the long term. If all that had happened was a continuation of the same trend that has been in place since the 1800's Armstrong should lose handily. <br /> I fully expect that the future will bring periods of warmer as well as cooler temperatures - in cycles following the general trend that has likely been occuring since the end of the little ice age. When you can demonstrate a trend longer than half a century with more than a 0.17C/decade increase I will be happy to concede the debate. In the meant time all you have is deeply flawed computer models and the natural variablity of weather and the planet.dhliihttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10726626982352071172noreply@blogger.com