tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6718772691289114123.post4939765399827697375..comments2024-03-26T15:37:57.556-07:00Comments on Idiot Tracker: Between the science and a hard place, Part Two: Confidence and RiskTheTrackerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10011829472333355911noreply@blogger.comBlogger8125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6718772691289114123.post-88060215538518466902021-09-14T01:49:45.087-07:002021-09-14T01:49:45.087-07:00help.microsoft.com talk to a person will provide ...<a href="https://web.sites.google.com/view/help-com-talk-to-a-person/" rel="nofollow"> help.microsoft.com talk to a person </a> will provide you with all the information you need to contact Microsoft Support.help.microsoft.com talk to a personnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6718772691289114123.post-20227604402568849672020-06-09T22:42:27.508-07:002020-06-09T22:42:27.508-07:00hihiemily26https://www.blogger.com/profile/14473406835416308454noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6718772691289114123.post-75510203509996287502015-05-18T12:13:35.385-07:002015-05-18T12:13:35.385-07:00I keep coming back to this stuff. I must have read...I keep coming back to this stuff. I must have read it at least 5 times. It's that good. Thanks.Nevenhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15413215743703093876noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6718772691289114123.post-77794074233330538612012-05-30T02:34:51.455-07:002012-05-30T02:34:51.455-07:00nice post thanks for it
ac duct cleaning Redland ...nice post thanks for it<br /><a href="http://ductcleaningflorida.com/air-duct-cleaning-redland-fl/" rel="nofollow"> ac duct cleaning Redland florida </a>Adminhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00931667808516627082noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6718772691289114123.post-41822658881297168022010-11-24T06:59:23.019-08:002010-11-24T06:59:23.019-08:00"I think an important point is that there'..."I think an important point is that there's nothing especially heretical about saying maybe temperatures will rise more slowly than most scientists think. The correct response to that, in my thinking is "Sure, maybe. I guess we'll see. Even if you're right, though, the risks are not substantially different."<br /><br />It's like two muggers with a gun. One has a full clip, the other one has seven bullets. Which one are you safe with?"<br /><br />Exactly. Precisely. <br /><br />"I think if we are debating the science, it is better to just debate the science."<br /><br />But what we are really debating is the policy. The science is being debated on an ongoing basis in the peer-reviewed literature. There is lots of uncertainty about what exactly the coming decades will look like, but very little uncertainty about the fact that business as usual will both cause expensive definite harms as well as significant risks of devastating harms. And that conclusion is relatively insensitive to what climate sensitivity or emissions scenario turns out to be correct.<br /><br />So let's argue the policy.TheTrackerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10011829472333355911noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6718772691289114123.post-7538107197121548022010-10-12T22:04:58.188-07:002010-10-12T22:04:58.188-07:00I would like to see the assessment of the climate ...I would like to see the assessment of the climate system sometimes more disaggregated from the issue of what to do about the changes. I fear that the discussion gets muddled. Also that there is a tendancy for deniers to argue the science, when they don't like the change. And alarmists, the reverse.<br /><br />I think if we are debating the science, it is better to just debate the science. I mean there is some physics going on. And at the end of the day, the molecules and the system are not Republicans or Democrats. Someone is right or wrong. Hard to tell and argue, since the system is so complex. But there IS an objective reality.<br /><br />Thus I would like to discuss things in a completely clinical and disinterested sense. Like someone talking about how an atom bomb works who doesn't give a rat;s ASS if it is used for good or evil. But just wants to calculate megatonnage as exactly as possible and to solve a debate on how the bomb works.<br /><br />Or at least who can sort of REALLY segregate his thought processes.<br /><br />I just think maybe well under 50% can do this. HAve that amount of scientific dispassion. At least of the people we see in coimment threadds.<br /><br />In contracst, most of the VC commentators are capable of doing this. But it is damned rare.PolyisTCOandbannednoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6718772691289114123.post-17499493797028154542010-09-20T09:50:34.957-07:002010-09-20T09:50:34.957-07:00Thanks! I was never a lukewarmer per se, but in ab...Thanks! I was never a lukewarmer per se, but in about 1990 I was a "Where's the proof?" person. <br /><br />I think an important point is that there's nothing especially heretical about saying maybe temperatures will rise more slowly than most scientists think. The correct response to that, in my thinking is "Sure, maybe. I guess we'll see. Even if you're right, though, the risks are not substantially different."<br /><br />It's like two muggers with a gun. One has a full clip, the other one has seven bullets. Which one are you safe with?TheTrackerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10011829472333355911noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6718772691289114123.post-65194507461567916932010-09-19T23:39:59.642-07:002010-09-19T23:39:59.642-07:00Thanks for this. Nicely argued. Many of us who now...Thanks for this. Nicely argued. Many of us who now believe that action is required were lukewarmers once.Andy Shttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16313161977123410684noreply@blogger.com